Trading Notes YouTube strategies (Trading Notes): tested
What it claims
The channel presents candlestick, smart-money (order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity sweeps), breakout and indicator strategies, almost all with a 2-to-1 target or a target at the next price structure.
What we tested
62 videos; 27 had at least one rule we could code, run as 161 versions on 12 markets on daily and 4-hour bars, entering at the next bar's open with the videos' own exits.
After spreads, slippage and financing the average was -0.129R per trade; 81 of the 161 versions were clearly negative.
Why
Most of these strategies aim for twice the risk, which needs only one win in three to break even; 108 of the 161 versions won between 31% and 38% of the time, right on that line, so trading costs decided the result. Strategies aiming at a nearby target won more often, up to 65%, but their wins were smaller than their losses. The few large positive results came from buying Bitcoin and Ether during their big rise and mostly vanish without those two.
Limits of this test
- Tested on the first 60% of each market's history; the rest is held back for any strategy that passes. Costs use our own spread, slippage and overnight-financing model, not one broker's.
- 4-hour bars cover only about 2023 to early 2025.
- A moving-average cross the video itself showed losing was included as a check, and it lost here too.
Measured results, not advice. We have no commercial link with Trading Notes. If you made this tool and think a figure is wrong, write to corrections@trackedsignals.com; corrections are published within 7 days. How we test.